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NOTE: The reasoning on this point is messy implying a greater possibility of being incorrect. Still humanity will have to clear several ‘impossible seeming’ hurdles sequentially in order for this to work—it seems unlikely we will succeed in this.

Reasons For Hope:

Reasons:

~~ Alignment won’t work to ensure AIs age aligned

Even if alignment could be make to work, it will still fail in the sense that it won’t be pervasively used, and we expect the negative consequences of unaligned AI will occur even with relatively small numbers of unaligned AIs